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New field assessment data collected in June and July affirm prior warnings of the risk of Famine (IPC Phase 5) in Luakpiny/Nasir (Nasir) and Ulang counties in Upper Nile State, South Sudan, as issued by the IPC and FEWS NET in June. Emergency (IPC Phase 4) and Catastrophe (IPC Phase 5) outcomes are already ongoing in Nasir and Ulang, and extremely high levels of hunger, malnutrition, and mortality will likely persist until at least the end of the lean season in October, when the rainy season ends and the harvest begins. Global acute malnutrition rates (GAM) among children under five have reached 25.4 and 23.4 percent, respectively, based on mid-upper arm circumference (MUAC) measurements collected in areas accessible to humanitarians. 23 and 11 percent of households, respectively, are experiencing extreme hunger indicative of a ≥50 percent food consumption deficit based on Household Hunger Score (HHS). Conflict between national army and local militia forces, a severe cholera outbreak, and starvation have also resulted in household reports of atypically high mortality, though trauma deaths remain the highest driver. These data suggest the food consumption and acute malnutrition thresholds for Famine (IPC Phase 5) may have been passed in Nasir; however, non-trauma mortality remains relatively low. Conditions in inaccessible areas are largely unknown, but it is likely that the severity of acute food insecurity is similar to or worse than that observed in accessible areas.

Between June and September 2025, 193,000 people (16 percent of the population) in Eswatini are experiencing high levels of acute food insecurity and loss of livelihood, classified in IPC Phase 3 or above (Crisis or worse). Although food security has improved significantly compared to the same period last year, the situation is expected to deteriorate during the projection period (October 2025 to March 2026). An estimated 259,000 people (21 percent of the population) are likely to face Crisis or worse conditions, representing an increase of 66,000 people compared to the current period. The Lowveld Cattle and Maize (LCM) zone continues to experience the worst food security conditions, with over 72,000 people in Phase 3 or above, followed by the Dry Middleveld (DMV) and the Lubombo Plateau (LP) with nearly 30,000 people and more than 9,400 people in Phase 3 or above respectively. These numbers demonstrate persistently high food insecurity levels.