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An estimated 1.7 million children between 6-59 months in Somalia will likely suffer acute malnutrition in 2025, including 466,000 cases of Severe Acute Malnutrition (SAM) and 1.2 million Moderate Acute Malnutrition (MAM) cases. Around 64 percent of cases are concentrated in southern Somalia. Compared to last year, GAM is expected to rise by 4 percent, while SAM will increase by 9 percent. Between April and June 2025, malnutrition is likely to worsen due to disease outbreaks and reduced food access. Conditions are expected to deteriorate in ten areas, including West Golis, Northern and Central pastoral zones, and several IDP settlements. In 31 other areas, malnutrition will worsen but remain within the same IPC Phase, with ten locations in IPC AMN Phase 4 (Critical), including Mogadishu IDPs, Shabelle Riverine, and Juba Cattle Pastoral.

Nearly 3.4 million people (17 percent of the analysed population) are facing high levels of acute food insecurity between January to March 2025. Of that total, 442,000 people are in IPC Phase 4 (Emergency) and 2.9 million people are in IPC Phase 3 (Crisis). Poor rainfall has reduced crop yields and depleted pasture and water sources, while localized flooding has damaged crops and displaced riverine communities. Conflict and insecurity continue to disrupt livelihoods and restrict market access.
Although the current food insecurity levels have improved by 15 percent compared to last year—mainly due to better rainfall and humanitarian aid—conditions are expected to worsen. Between April and June 2025, below-average rainfall, high food prices, conflict, and further flooding could push 4.4 million people (23 percent of the population) into IPC Phase 3 or above.

Between November 2024 and March 2025, approximately 11 million people in Pakistan’s rural population (22 percent of the analysed population) are experiencing high levels of acute food insecurity, classified in IPC Phase 3 or above. This includes 1.7 million people (3 percent of the population analysed) experiencing critical levels of acute food insecurity – IPC Phase 4 (Emergency). Approximately 9.3 million people (19 percent of the population analysed) are experiencing crisis levels of acute food insecurity, classified in IPC Phase 3 (Crisis). These populations urgently require interventions to safeguard livelihoods, mitigate food deficits, and save lives.

The projected analysis period in Lesotho aligns with the lean season starting from October to March 2025. The projection analysis conducted in November 2024 shows an improved food security situation compared to the May 2024 assessment and analysis. This improvement is largely due to ongoing humanitarian assistance—such as cash and food transfers—from the government of Lesotho, humanitarian organizations, and UN agencies, which have significantly helped reduce food gaps. During the projected period (January-March 2025), approximately 335,000 people (22 percent of the rural population) are expected to be in IPC Phase 3 (Crisis), compared to 403,000 people in the May 2024 analysis for the same period. Overall, with this new analysis, all ten districts remain classified under IPC Phase 3 (Crisis).

Nearly 1.7 million children, aged 6 to 59 months, are projected to suffer acute malnutrition between August 2024 and July 2025. This includes 412,400 cases of severe acute malnutrition (SAM) and almost 1.3 million cases of moderate acute malnutrition (MAM). Additionally, 96,200 pregnant and breastfeeding women (PBW) are expected to suffer acute malnutrition in the same period.

The departments with the highest number of malnourished children between August 2024 and July 2025 include those in the Critical and Serious phases, which together account for a significant portion of the country's total malnutrition caseload.

The major drivers of acute malnutrition in Niger include inadequate quantity and poor quality of children's diets, high prevalence of diseases, inadequate access to safe drinking water, sanitation, and low hygiene practices. Additionally, reduced access to health and nutrition services, suboptimal breastfeeding practices, and high levels of food insecurity exacerbate acute malnutrition levels. Lastly, other risk factors like widespread shocks, including potential environmental and economic challenges, continue to negatively impact the nutrition situation.