More than 256,000 people (25 percent of the population) are experiencing IPC Phase 3 or above (Crisis or worse) between July and December 2026, including around 30,000 people in IPC Phase 4 (Emergency). This is a significant increase from the previous period (May – June 2026), when approximately 166,000 people (16 percent of the analysed population) faced Phase 3 or above and 17,000 people (2 percent) faced Phase 4. Price shocks linked to import dependence, low purchasing power, and the effects of strong El Niño conditions are driving the increase.