Hard Wheat

The USDA released its latest World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report today. The WASDE report provides monthly comprehensive forecasts of supply and demand for major U.S. and global crops, supplied by the USDA. Crops covered include wheat, coarse grains, rice, and oilseeds. This report can explain past and current global commodities trends, as well as predict trends for the coming year. This month's report estimates 2013/2014 global wheat production at a record 705.4 million tons. Global wheat supply estimated were also raised by 7.5 million tons this month.

The latest FAO Food Price Index was released yesterday, and is down four points from June and seven points from a year ago. This is the third consecutive monthly drop and is due in large part to lower grain, soy, and oil prices.

The Cereal Price Index dropped in July by 8.8 points, down nearly 33 points from July 2012. This sharp drop was driven mainly by maize prices, which fell on favorable weather and production prospects in several major producers. Wheat prices also declined in July, but that decline was limited by increased export demand.

The latest FEWS Net Monthly Price Watch was released last week, citing generally stable international staple grain prices.

Large carry-over stocks of Thai rice have balanced out against record low rice production in the US; global rice production estimates remain on track to surpass record 2011-2012 harvests. Global maize prices also remained stable in June after sharp declines in April, while wheat export prices held steady due to favorable production prospects. Global soybean output is estimated to increase on strong production expected in both North and South America.

The latest FEWS Net Monthly Price Watch was released today. The report saw stable global rice and wheat prices in May, although wheat prices remain at high levels. Rice production is on track to surpass last year's record harvests, and rice prices are expected to remain relatively stable for the rest of the year. Global maize prices increased on delayed planting in North America, caused mainly by poor weather conditions. Closing global maize stocks are expected to be tight despite record South American harvests.

The FAO released today its latest Food Price Index , which has remained largely unchanged from last month at 215.2 points. While this is 10 points higher than in May 2012, it still remains nearly 10 percent lower than the peak seen in February 2011.

The Cereals Price Index rose four points from April, largely based on a strong rebound in maize prices as the US experienced planting delays and a tightening of exports. Wheat and rice prices, on the other hand, remained largely unchanged in May.