Food Crisis and Related Risk Factors

The attack on Iran by U.S. and Israeli forces and Iranian retaliation against U.S. allies in the Persian Gulf have roiled energy markets by disrupting shipping through the Strait of Hormuz—the Gulf’s only sea passage to the open ocean. About 27% of the world’s oil exports, 20% of global liquified natural gas (LNG) exports, and 20%-30% of global fertilizer exports, including urea, ammonia, phosphates, and sulfur, pass through the Strait.

7.5 million Pakistanis are currently facing high levels of acute food insecurity, according to a new IPC alert released this week.   Pakistan suffered from multiple climate shocks in 2025, including a monsoon-driven flooding and prolonged drought.

The global poverty landscape is increasingly shaped by conflict, climate shocks, displacement, and market disruptions—forces that are concentrating extreme poverty in the most fragile settings. At the same time, humanitarian and development financing is under pressure, heightening the need for  scalable and cost-effective approaches to poverty reduction. Graduation models—multifaceted interventions designed to help extremely poor households to “graduate” from poverty—are emerging as a particularly promising response in this context.

Food security conditions in the Gaza Strip have improved since August when the IPC Famine Review Committee confirmed the existence of famine conditions. Despite this improvement, however, 1.6 million people—most of Gaza’s population—still face unacceptably high levels of acute food insecurity, according to the IPC’s latest alert.

The International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI) convened its first workshop for the Google.org–funded project “Prediction of Food Crisis Risks” on November 3, 2025. The hybrid meeting, moderated by Dr. Betina Dimaranan, brought together researchers from across IFPRI and partner institutions to share early findings, discuss technical progress, and chart the project’s strategic direction.