Prolonged dry spells, floods, high food prices and low household purchasing power are driving 466,000 people (10 percent of the analysed population) into Crisis (IPC Phase 3) levels of acute food insecurity between February and May 2025. Although there has been a slight improvement since December 2023, poor households remain heavily affected, particularly those reliant on agriculture and livestock whose incomes have been below average. All 16 district councils assessed in Mainland Tanzania are classified as Stressed (IPC Phase 2).
Food security is expected to improve between June and October 2025, with 242,000 people projected in Crisis (IPC Phase 3) and nearly 1 million in Stressed (IPC Phase 2), supported by favourable rainfall and upcoming harvests. However, persistent risks such as dry spells, floods, high food prices, and crop and livestock diseases could reverse these gains.