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Tanzania: Acute Food Insecurity Situation for February–May 2026 and Projection for June 2026–January 2027

/sites/default/files/2026-04/IPC_Tanzania_Acute_Food_Insecurity_April%202026_Report_English.pdf
Apr 27th, 2026
Prolonged dry spells, flooding, persistently high staple food prices, declining household purchasing power, and limited income opportunities are driving around 10 percent of the analysed population in rural districts of mainland Tanzania into high levels of acute food insecurity (IPC Phase 3 or above). The impact is particularly severe among households that depend on agricultural labour, livestock, and crop production. During the current analysis period (February–May 2026), which coincides with the peak lean season in single‑season (unimodal) agricultural districts, approximately 1 million people are experiencing IPC Phase 3 (Crisis) conditions, unable to meet their essential food requirements and resorting to unsustainable coping measures.
This IPC analysis for mainland Tanzania covers 30 vulnerable rural districts across 11 regions, including 20 districts with bimodal agricultural seasons and 10 districts with a unimodal season. Together, these districts are home to approximately 10 million people, representing around 15 percent of the national population. These areas are repeatedly affected by shocks—such as climatic variability and market instability—that consistently undermine food security and erode household purchasing power.

Tanzania: Acute Food Insecurity Situation February - May 2025 and June - October 2025

Apr 30th, 2025
Prolonged dry spells, floods, high food prices and low household purchasing power are driving 466,000 people (10 percent of the analysed population) into Crisis (IPC Phase 3) levels of acute food insecurity between February and May 2025. Although there has been a slight improvement since December 2023, poor households remain heavily affected, particularly those reliant on agriculture and livestock whose incomes have been below average. All 16 district councils assessed in Mainland Tanzania are classified as Stressed (IPC Phase 2).
Food security is expected to improve between June and October 2025, with 242,000 people projected in Crisis (IPC Phase 3) and nearly 1 million in Stressed (IPC Phase 2), supported by favourable rainfall and upcoming harvests. However, persistent risks such as dry spells, floods, high food prices, and crop and livestock diseases could reverse these gains.

Food Price Shocks Tool

The Food Security Portal's Price Shocks Tool provides an interactive way to explore the impact of price changes on poverty. When you set hypothetical price shock(s) using the tool, net impacts of selected price changes are generated per household and the impact on poverty is automatically calculated accordingly.

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