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A Look at Global Rice Markets: Export Restrictions, El Niño, and Price Controls

To address rising domestic prices for rice, India banned exports of non-basmati rice on July 20, 2023—a move many feared would drive global prices even higher. Since then, these worries have been realized: Thailand’s benchmark price for rice has increased 14 percent, Viet Nam’s rice prices are up 22 percent, and India’s white rice prices are up 12 percent.

Good News for Some Countries, But Acute Food Insecurity Persists Worldwide: Global Report on Food Crises Midyear Update Released

The Global Report on Food Crises (GRFC) 2023 Midyear Update finds that while some countries have seen improvements in hunger and malnutrition in the first half of 2023, high levels of acute food insecurity remain worldwide. As in previous years, conflict, climate change, and economic shocks continue to be the main drivers of food crisis, with conflict playing the predominant role from January through August 2023.

Food Price Index Declined in August, While Rice Prices Spiked

The FAO Food Price Index fell by around 2 percent in August, driven by declines in cereal, vegetable oil, dairy, and meat indices. This decline placed the Index 24 percent below the peak seen in March 2022. The major exception was rice prices, which saw a significant increase in August.

Food Security Trends and Resilience-Building Priorities

The new CGIAR series on Strengthening Food Systems Resilience kicks off with a seminar examining food security trends and the impacts of recent shocks to food systems. Speakers will highlight the need for renewed efforts to strengthen food systems resilience and identify priority investments and actions.

Johan Swinnen, Director General IFPRI; CGIAR Managing Director Systems Transformation Science Group: Overview of Food Security Trends and Impacts of Past Crises 

India’s new ban on rice exports: Potential threats to global supply, prices, and food security

On July 20, India announced that it would restrict exports of non-basmati rice to calm domestic rice prices that had risen more than 30% since October 2022 (Figure 1). The ban would halt overseas sales of the grain with “immediate effect,” the government announced, and is estimated to cover about 75%-80% of Indian rice exports.

Lessons from the Ukraine Crisis: New Ebook Released

With the world already reeling from the high food prices and other economic impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic, the outbreak of conflict in Ukraine in February 2022 again raised the specter of a major global food security crisis. Since that time, analysis of the extant and potential future impacts of the conflict on food and fuel prices, trade, food security, and poverty has been a primary focus for policymakers, researchers, and development professionals around the world.

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