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Madagascar: Acute Food Insecurity Situation for May - September 2025 and Projections for October 2025 - January 2026 and January - April 2026

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Sep 9th, 2025
The acute food insecurity situation in Madagascar remains deeply concerning. Approximately 1.2 million people—representing 13 percent of the population in the districts analysed—are currently experiencing high levels of acute food insecurity, classified in IPC Phase 3 or above. This includes 29,000 people in IPC Phase 4 (Emergency) and 1.17 million in IPC Phase 3 (Crisis).
Conditions are expected to deteriorate during the first projection period (October 2025 to January 2026), with 1.5 million people projected to face Phase 3 or above, including a sharp increase of 84,000 people in Phase 4. This deterioration is primarily driven by an early lean season, resulting in poor harvests and elevated food prices, which undermine both availability and accessibility of food.
A further decline is anticipated in the second projection period (February to April 2026), with nearly 1.64 million people expected to face high levels of acute food insecurity, including 110,000 people in Phase 4 (Emergency). Alarmingly, marginalised and low-income rural households are disproportionately affected, with 5 to 10 percent of the population in some areas projected to be in Phase 4, even during the peak harvest season.
This worsening crisis is driven by a combination of recurring climate shocks (including droughts, floods, and cyclones), major agricultural disruptions (such as delayed planting and locust infestations), declining purchasing power, and limited access to essential services and humanitarian assistance. These factors are compounded by chronic poverty and fragile community resilience, placing millions at heightened risk.

Famine Confirmed in Gaza Strip

The chance to prevent widespread famine in the Gaza Strip has passed, according to the IPC Famine Review Committee (FRC). The prolonged food crisis in Gaza reached an unprecedented and devastating level in July and August, with the FRC confirming famine in Gaza Governate and projecting famine thresholds to be crossed in Deir al-Balah and Khan Younis Governates in the coming weeks. This latest update places more than half a million people at risk of starvation.

Gaza Strip: Acute Food Insecurity Situation for 1 July - 15 August 2025 and Projection for 16 August - 30 September 2025

Aug 22nd, 2025
As of 15 August 2025, Famine (IPC Phase 5)—with reasonable evidence—is confirmed in Gaza Governorate. After 22 months of relentless conflict, over half a million people in the Gaza Strip are facing catastrophic conditions characterised by starvation, destitution and death. Another 1.07 million people (54 percent) are in Emergency (IPC Phase 4), and 396,000 people (20 percent) are in Crisis (IPC Phase 3). Between mid-August and the end of September 2025, conditions are expected to further worsen with Famine projected to expand to Deir al-Balah and Khan Younis. Nearly a third of the population (641,000 people) are expected to face catastrophic conditions (IPC Phase 5), while those in Emergency (IPC Phase 4) will likely rise to 1.14 million (58 percent). Acute malnutrition is projected to continue worsening rapidly. Through June 2026, at least 132,000 children under five are expected to suffer from acute malnutrition—double the IPC estimates from May 2025. This includes over 41,000 severe cases of children at heightened risk of death. Nearly 55,500 malnourished pregnant and breastfeeding women will require urgent nutrition response. Conditions in North Gaza Governorate are estimated to be as severe—or worse—than in Gaza Governorate. However, limited data prevents IPC classification of this area, highlighting the urgent need for access and comprehensive assessments. Rafah Governorate was not analysed given indications that it is largely depopulated.

Eswatini: Acute Food Insecurity Situation for June - September 2025 and Projection for October 2025 - March 2026

Jul 31st, 2025
Between June and September 2025, 193,000 people (16 percent of the population) in Eswatini are experiencing high levels of acute food insecurity and loss of livelihood, classified in IPC Phase 3 or above (Crisis or worse). Although food security has improved significantly compared to the same period last year, the situation is expected to deteriorate during the projection period (October 2025 to March 2026). An estimated 259,000 people (21 percent of the population) are likely to face Crisis or worse conditions, representing an increase of 66,000 people compared to the current period. The Lowveld Cattle and Maize (LCM) zone continues to experience the worst food security conditions, with over 72,000 people in Phase 3 or above, followed by the Dry Middleveld (DMV) and the Lubombo Plateau (LP) with nearly 30,000 people and more than 9,400 people in Phase 3 or above respectively. These numbers demonstrate persistently high food insecurity levels.

Gaza now facing "worst-case scenario"

The population of the Gaza Strip is facing unprecedented crisis, according to the latest IPC alert released yesterday. Calling the situation the “worst-case scenario,” the alert reports famine-level food consumption throughout most of the territory and acute malnutrition in Gaza City.

Central African Republic: Acute Malnutrition Situation for March - August 2025 and Projection for September 2025 - February 2026

Jul 9th, 2025
More than 228,400 children aged 6 to 59 months are suffering or expected to suffer acute malnutrition between March 2025 and February 2026, including 61,500 children suffering severe acute malnutrition (SAM). This marks a 30 percent increase compared to the same period in 2023. In the current period (March to August 2025), the sub-prefectures of Bamingui, Ndélé, Amdafoc, Birao, and Ouandja-Djallé are classified in IPC AMN Phase 4 (Critical), while the remaining 71 analysed sub-prefectures are in IPC AMN Phase 2 (Alert).

Bangladesh: Acute Malnutrition Situation for January - December 2025

Jul 4th, 2025
Bangladesh's first IPC Acute Malnutrition (AMN) analysis finds that approximately 1.6 million children aged 6 to 59 months are suffering or expected to suffer acute malnutrition between January and December 2025, including 143,850 children facing Severe Acute Malnutrition (SAM). Around 117,000 pregnant or breastfeeding women (PBW) are suffering or expected to suffer acute malnutrition in the same period. The districts most affected are Bhola, Cox’s Bazar, Bagerhat, Sirajganj, Gaibandha, Kurigram and Bhashanchar where food insecurity is more prevalent.

Central African Republic: Acute Food Insecurity Situation for April - August 2025 and Projection for September 2025 - March 2026

Jul 1st, 2025
Approximately 2.2 million people—or one in three people—are facing high levels of acute food insecurity between April and August 2025, including 481,000 people facing critical levels of acute food insecurity, IPC Phase 4 (Emergency), and 1.74 million people experiencing crisis levels of acute food insecurity, classified in IPC Phase 3 (Crisis). The situation is driven by conflict and insecurity, poor agricultural production and economic shocks. Armed violence and civil unrest continue to displace populations—over 443,000 people are currently displaced—and limit access to farmland, especially in the southeast, northeast, and northwest.
Aerial photo of damage in Gaza Strip during October 2023

Gaza’s worsening food crisis and troubled path to reconstruction

As the Israel-Hamas conflict rages on in the Gaza Strip, the territory’s entire population of more than 2 million remains under threat of severe food crisis. The latest alert from the IPC Integrated Phase Classification for Acute Food Insecurity reports that one in five people in the Gaza Strip—upwards of 500,000—are on the brink of  starvation (IPC Phase 5 Catastrophe) due to the March 18, 2025 end of the ceasefire and the resumption of blockades of humanitarian aid and commercial supplies. The entire population is facing crisis-level acute food insecurity (IPC Phase 3 or worse). 

Famine Continues to Spread in Sudan: New IPC Alert Released

As the conflict in Sudan enters its twentieth month, acute food insecurity in the country is spreading rapidly. According to a new alert from the IPC Famine Review Committee, Famine conditions have been identified in five areas of the country, with an additional five areas expected to face Famine between December 2024 and March 2025. As many as 17 additional areas are at risk of Famine, and half the country’s population—24.6 million people—is currently experiencing high levels of acute food insecurity.

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