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Wheat thresher drives through field of wheat plants.

AMIS Urges Restraint on Food Export Restrictions

With the Russia-Ukraine conflict disrupting global supply chains, roiling markets and raising food and fuel prices, some governments have responded with restrictions on agricultural exports. While these policies may be domestically appealing, however, they have wider ramifications for global food prices and food security, according to the May AMIS Market Monitor. The report emphasizes that restrictive trade measures like export restrictions will further limit available food stocks, raise food and fuel prices even higher, and push poor populations into more acute food security.

A crowd of people rush to buy bread, a staple food, after it arrives at a bakery in Mozambique. Supply disruptions and rising prices of wheat and other items are causing problems for countries in Africa and elsewhere as the Russia-Ukraine war continues.

Urgent Call for Global Action as Food Prices Continue to Rise

Last week, the heads of the World Bank Group, International Monetary Fund, United Nations World Food Program, and World Trade Organization issued a joint statement calling for urgent global action on food security in response to skyrocketing global food prices.

A field of sunflowers in Ukraine. The Russia-Ukraine war has disrupted supplies of sunflower oil, leading a number of countries impose export restrictions on that and other commodities.

From bad to worse: How Russia-Ukraine war-related export restrictions exacerbate global food insecurity

Global turmoil and supply shocks can increase a country's vulnerability to food shortages. In the past, countries have often resorted to restrictive trade policies to address food supply disruptions. The Ukraine-Russia crisis is no exception; a number of countries have imposed export restrictions in various forms.

Two men in Darfur carry boxes of food aid, including wheat. Supply disruptions and rising prices of wheat and other items are causing problems for countries in the Middle East and elsewhere as the Russia-Ukraine war continues.

Do No Harm: Measured policy responses are key to addressing food security impacts of the Ukraine crisis

The Russian invasion of Ukraine is likely to have serious consequences for global food security. The UN Food and Agriculture Organization has estimated that if there is a prolonged disruption in exports of wheat, fertilizer, and other items from Ukraine and Russia, the number of undernourished people worldwide could increase by 8 to 13 million people in 2022/23, with the most pronounced increases taking place in the Asia-Pacific region, followed by sub-Saharan Africa and the Middle East and North Africa (MENA). 

FAO Food Price Index Hits All-Time High

In March, the FAO Food Price Index experienced another surge to reach the highest level since its 1990 inception. The Index rose by 12.6 percent from February, driven by all-time highs for vegetable oil, cereal, and meat prices.

Fertilizer Availability and Affordability: Implications for agricultural productivity and food security

The invasion of Ukraine has driven up already high global agricultural commodity prices.  Fertilizer prices have also reached all-time highs, casting a serious shadow on future harvests, and thus add to concerns about global food security. 

Speakers will address the implications of increased prices on fertilizer demand, usage and productivity, the viability of government fertilizer subsidies and soil health.

This is the third event in an IFPRI seminar series on Food and Fertilizer Price Trends: Impacts on global food security.

The Russia-Ukraine war is exacerbating international food price volatility

The IFPRI Food Security Portal’s Excessive Food Price Variability Early Warning System is showing excessive levels of price volatility in the four major food commodities: Wheat, maize, rice, and soybeans, as well as for cotton. Markets for hard and soft wheat and soybeans had already been more volatile than normal since late 2021, well ahead of Russia’s invasion in Ukraine, which began on Feb. 24. That conflict, coming on top of the ongoing effects of the COVID-19 pandemic, has already contributed to spiking food prices, with possible major consequences for global food security.

Retail food prices at the country level and implications for food security

This policy seminar will explore what we know—and do not know—about how high global agricultural commodity prices and country-specific factors affect retail prices at the national level. Special attention will be given to countries suffering from acute food insecurity and those with a high dependence on imports.

The Russia-Ukraine crisis poses a serious food security threat for Egypt

Russia's invasion of Ukraine has imperiled global food security—creating suffering within Ukraine and displacing millions, while disrupting agricultural production and trade from one of the world's major exporting regions. The latter threatens to drive rising food prices still higher and create scarcity, especially for regions most dependent on exports from Russia and Ukraine—particularly the Middle East and North Africa.

Extraordinary Meeting of the AMIS Rapid Response Forum

As global food prices continue to rise and concerns grow over potential supply disruptions in the Black Sea region, policymakers and development practitioners are beginning to analyze the implications for global food markets and the potential for food crises. On March 5, 2022, the Agricultural Market Information System (AMIS) called an extraordinary meeting of the AMIS Rapid Response Forum.

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