Early Warning Systems Hub Alerts

Over twelve months of warfare between the Sudan Armed Forces (SAF) and the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) is driving a devastating
deterioration in acute food insecurity across Sudan, and parts of the country face a risk of Famine (IPC Phase 5).

Millions of people are experiencing severe hunger, and available evidence suggests high and rising levels of acute malnutrition and hunger-related mortality among internally displaced populations

About 14.6 million people (20 percent of the analysed population) experienced high levels of acute food insecurity, classified in IPC Phase 3 or above (Crisis or worse) between February and March 2024. An estimated 14.3 million people are in IPC Phase 3 (Crisis) and about 0.3 million people are in IPC Phase 4 (Emergency).

High inflation, coupled with repeated climatic shocks as well as reduced income opportunities are putting high pressures on the poorest households and driving acute food insecurity in the analysed population.

The food security and nutrition situation in Sudan has deteriorated significantly amidst escalating conflict, raising major concern. The IPC analysis released in December 2023 projected that, between October 2023 and February 2024, 17.7 million people in Sudan (37% of the population) faced high levels of acute food insecurity (IPC Phase 3 or above), of which 4.9 million (10%) were in IPC Phase 4 (Emergency). The unprecedented levels of acute food insecurity recorded by the IPC in 2023 have been driven by the devastating conflict that engulfed the country.

Security threats, roadblocks and protection concerns limit both the humanitarian response and assessments. Due to data gaps in hotspot areas and connectivity challenges, the Sudan IPC Technical Working Group (TWG) has not been in a position to update the IPC analysis released in December 2023. Consequently, this alert has been developed based on the review of the latest evidence available and issued to express major concern regarding the deteriorating situation; and advocate for stakeholders to act immediately to prevent famine. Since this IPC exercise, there has been a significant escalation of the conflict among armed factions and a rise in organized violence beyond the initial IPC assumptions made in previous analyses.

The first ever IPC acute malnutrition analysis of Haiti found that nearly 277,000 children aged 6 to 59 months are facing or expected to face acute malnutrition between December 2023 and November 2024, including 125,000 children who are severely malnourished.

Of the 10 departments and municipalities that were included in the analysis, IPC AMN Phase 4 (Critical) was observed in Commune of Croix de Bouquets. The municipalities of Delmas, Cabaret and Fonds Verrettes were classified in IPC AMN Phase 3 (Serious), while 1 department and 21 municipalities were classified in IPC AMN Phase 2 (Alert).

Despite improvements, almost 1 In 5 Somalis face high levels of acute food insecurity; 1.7 million children likely to suffer from acute malnutrition.
Heavy rainfall, flooding across Somalia, exacerbated by lingering effects of previous droughts have driven 4 million (21% of population) to IPC AFI Phase 3 or worse (Crisis or Emergency) between January and March 2024. Of these, 3.2 million people (17 percent of the population) are in IPC AFI Phase 3 (Crisis), and around 800,000 people (4 percent of the population) are experiencing worse conditions in IPC AFI Phase 4 (Emergency).

Food assistance needs in Sudan are rapidly accelerating due to the recent expansion in fighting between the Sudan Armed Forces (SAF)
and the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) into the southeast. Sudan is now expected to have the third highest share of the population in need
among FEWS NET’s monitored countries in 2024. The opening of this new front is further disrupting trade and agricultural activities in
Sudan’s breadbasket, posing a significant threat to national food availability.

Attack and suspended humanitarian access underscore risk of Famine in Djibo

GAZA STRIP: Hostilities leave the entire population highly food insecure and at risk of Famine

SUDAN: Intense conflict, organized violence and continued economic decline drive 17.7 million people into high levels of acute food insecurity between October 2023 and February 2024

AFGHANISTAN: 13.1 million people experience high levels of acute food insecurity in October 2023 driven by climatic shocks, macro-economic instability and unemployment